Wednesday, September 10, 2008

9 Sep 2008 Daily Charts

Yesterday I thought today could be a consolidation so I didn't add any short position this morning.  And I was too busy to watch the market today, so I only got a tiny profit on my existing SDS and SKF.  After reading other people's analysis I had some bullish bias yesterday I thought the Wall Street would set us up and push SPX to 1280+.  However the situation is not complicated.  The market simply sold off, again and again.

Here is the SPX 60-min chart:

spx

We are in 3 of 5 and I expect 1200 is broken out after 5 of 5 is finished.

XLF 60-min chart:

xlf

Both the momentum and volume pattern look bearish.

SKF 60-min chart:

skf

Now it seems the down trend has been reversed.  I plan to buy on dip.

INDU 60-min chart:

indu

Take notice at the TSI and Chaikin oscillator.  Most likely a bigger selling-off is coming soon (at least not ending soon).

SPX daily:

spx-d

Very likely SPX will go further down.  We are now in 3 of 5 on the chart, and the final target of wave 5 is around 1120.

SPX weekly:

spx-w

I am not entirely convinced by the bullish falling wedge because it is inconsistent with the wave counting.  Anyway the chart says no long before ~1160.

I have decided to follow the trend instead of to be against it.

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